Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Gelhardt

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.01xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
181.01.21.31.01.2
GW5 1 points played · GW6 8 points played · GW7 1.0 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.3 projected · GW10 1.0 projected · GW11 1.2 projected
GW567891011
FULBREIPSARSBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank257thcaptain EV2.03owned0.0%season9 pts
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 1.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 62%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (62% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.01
Captain EV2.03
Top 15% of sims, average4.93
Projected pts/£m0.202
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.016
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.05
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank257 / 558
Season points (minutes)9 (71′)
Realized pts/£m1.80
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/340.json.