Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

Pau

DEF · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
1.16xPts0.26pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
0211.20.91.11.1
GW1 0 points played · GW2 2 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 1.2 projected · GW8 0.9 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.1 projected
GW12478910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank245thcaptain EV2.31owned0.3%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.68
attack 0.7clean sheet 0.3defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 1.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 55%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (55% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.16
Captain EV2.31
Top 15% of sims, average5.46
Projected pts/£m0.264
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.07
P(DefCon threshold)0.033
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.32
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.37
Price£4.4m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank245 / 300
Season points (minutes)3 (187′)
Realized pts/£m0.68
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/34.json.