Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Ampadu

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.11xPts0.58pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 5
7513.13.13.03.0
GW4 7 points played · GW5 5 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 3.1 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.0 projected · GW10 3.0 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank95thcaptain EV6.22owned0.9%season22 ptspts/£m so far4.07
attack 2.2clean sheet 0.2defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 3.1 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 40%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (40% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.11
Captain EV6.22
Top 15% of sims, average7.16
Projected pts/£m0.576
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.51
P(DefCon threshold)0.256
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.25
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank95 / 185
Season points (minutes)22 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.07
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/338.json.