Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Muharemović

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.81xPts0.76pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
7623.83.83.73.7
GW4 7 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.8 projected · GW8 3.8 projected · GW9 3.7 projected · GW10 3.7 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank48thcaptain EV7.62owned4.6%season29 ptspts/£m so far5.80
attack 1.7clean sheet 1.0defence 0.9bonus 0.2= 3.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 17%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (17% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.81
Captain EV7.62
Top 15% of sims, average9.62
Projected pts/£m0.762
Expected bonus (per match)0.21
DefCon points (per match)0.91
P(DefCon threshold)0.455
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.97
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.0m
Ownership4.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank48 / 78
Season points (minutes)29 (540′)
Realized pts/£m5.80
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/334.json.