Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Bogle

DEF · £4.7m · Gameweek 7
3.31xPts0.70pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
15513.33.23.13.2
GW4 15 points played · GW5 5 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 3.3 projected · GW8 3.2 projected · GW9 3.1 projected · GW10 3.2 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank85thcaptain EV6.62owned9.0%season43 ptspts/£m so far9.15
attack 2.1clean sheet 1.0defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 3.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 26%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (26% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.31
Captain EV6.62
Top 15% of sims, average8.87
Projected pts/£m0.704
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.023
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.03
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.7m
Ownership9.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank85 / 38
Season points (minutes)43 (450′)
Realized pts/£m9.15
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/330.json.