Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

Mings

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.06xPts0.46pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
0312.11.72.22.0
GW4 0 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.1 projected · GW8 1.7 projected · GW9 2.2 projected · GW10 2.0 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank179thcaptain EV4.13owned0.4%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.44
attack 1.1clean sheet 0.5defence 0.3bonus 0.2= 2.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 38%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (38% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.06
Captain EV4.13
Top 15% of sims, average8.02
Projected pts/£m0.458
Expected bonus (per match)0.16
DefCon points (per match)0.28
P(DefCon threshold)0.138
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.51
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.63
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank179 / 269
Season points (minutes)11 (351′)
Realized pts/£m2.44
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/33.json.