Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Fatawu

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
1.57xPts0.29pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
21-11.61.92.02.0
GW3 2 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW5 -1 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 1.9 projected · GW9 2.0 projected · GW10 2.0 projected
GW34578910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank223rdcaptain EV3.14owned0.1%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.48
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 34%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (34% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.57
Captain EV3.14
Top 15% of sims, average4.72
Projected pts/£m0.291
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.017
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.05
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.72
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank223 / 413
Season points (minutes)8 (352′)
Realized pts/£m1.48
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/315.json.