Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Clarke

MID · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
1.26xPts0.24pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1241.31.61.71.6
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 1.3 projected · GW8 1.6 projected · GW9 1.7 projected · GW10 1.6 projected
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank240thcaptain EV2.52owned0.2%season15 ptspts/£m so far2.83
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 1.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 53%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (53% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.26
Captain EV2.52
Top 15% of sims, average5.26
Projected pts/£m0.238
Expected bonus (per match)0.16
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.03
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.39
Price£5.3m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank240 / 326
Season points (minutes)15 (197′)
Realized pts/£m2.83
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/313.json.