Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetIPS

Núñez

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
0.57xPts0.12pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
420.60.60.70.60.7
GW1 4 points played · GW2 2 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.6 projected · GW9 0.7 projected · GW10 0.6 projected · GW11 0.7 projected
GW127891011
MCINFOHULBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank320thcaptain EV1.13owned0.1%season6 pts
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 68%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (68% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.57
Captain EV1.13
Top 15% of sims, average2.68
Projected pts/£m0.116
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.018
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.01
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.20
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank320 / 463
Season points (minutes)6 (140′)
Realized pts/£m1.22
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/309.json.