Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Alex Palmer

GK · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
0.19xPts0.05pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 0
0.20.30.30.30.3
GW7 0.2 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.3 projected · GW11 0.3 projected
GW7891011
MCINFOHULBOUTOT
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank447thcaptain EV0.38owned3.8%season0 pts
attack 0.1clean sheet 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 91%ceiling 0
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (91% of simulations), ceiling 0 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.19
Captain EV0.38
Top 15% of sims, average1.32
Projected pts/£m0.048
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.25
Price£4.0m
Ownership3.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank447 / 88
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/301.json.