Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Slater

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.50xPts0.56pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
2222.52.72.82.4
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 2.4 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank142ndcaptain EV5.00owned5.0%season17 ptspts/£m so far3.78
attack 2.1clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 51%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (51% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
the consensus squad owns him, we do not
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.50
Captain EV5.00
Top 15% of sims, average6.50
Projected pts/£m0.556
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.08
P(DefCon threshold)0.038
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.17
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.5m
Ownership5.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank142 / 75
Season points (minutes)17 (511′)
Realized pts/£m3.78
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionthe consensus squad owns him, we do not

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Slater. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the XI of the consensus squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/290.json.