Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Crooks

MID · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
1.55xPts0.35pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1011.61.61.71.5
GW4 1 points played · GW5 0 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 1.6 projected · GW9 1.7 projected · GW10 1.5 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank224thcaptain EV3.10owned0.5%season4 ptspts/£m so far0.91
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 29%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (29% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.55
Captain EV3.10
Top 15% of sims, average4.63
Projected pts/£m0.352
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.028
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.11
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.75
Price£4.4m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank224 / 245
Season points (minutes)4 (267′)
Realized pts/£m0.91
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/289.json.