Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Belloumi

MID · £5.2m · Gameweek 7
2.34xPts0.45pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
13462.32.52.72.2
GW4 13 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 2.3 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank156thcaptain EV4.67owned7.3%season37 ptspts/£m so far7.12
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.1defence 0.2bonus 0.2= 2.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 30%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (30% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.34
Captain EV4.67
Top 15% of sims, average7.91
Projected pts/£m0.450
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.18
P(DefCon threshold)0.091
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.72
Price£5.2m
Ownership7.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank156 / 50
Season points (minutes)37 (420′)
Realized pts/£m7.12
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/286.json.