Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Giles

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
2.19xPts0.55pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
4022.22.62.92.2
GW4 4 points played · GW5 0 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.2 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank169thcaptain EV4.38owned2.9%season26 ptspts/£m so far6.50
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.7defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 33%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (33% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.19
Captain EV4.38
Top 15% of sims, average7.16
Projected pts/£m0.547
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.032
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.67
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.0m
Ownership2.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank169 / 105
Season points (minutes)26 (507′)
Realized pts/£m6.50
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/282.json.