Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidFUL

Josh King

MID · £5.6m · Gameweek 7
3.86xPts0.69pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
3223.93.53.53.5
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.9 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.5 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank44thcaptain EV7.72owned4.7%season26 ptspts/£m so far4.64
attack 3.1clean sheet 0.4defence 0.0bonus 0.4= 3.9 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 37%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (37% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.86
Captain EV7.72
Top 15% of sims, average10.76
Projected pts/£m0.689
Expected bonus (per match)0.40
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.020
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.36
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.6m
Ownership4.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank44 / 77
Season points (minutes)26 (500′)
Realized pts/£m4.64
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/268.json.