Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetFUL

Berge

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
2.42xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
3322.42.22.22.2
GW4 3 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.4 projected · GW8 2.2 projected · GW9 2.2 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank149thcaptain EV4.85owned0.3%season13 ptspts/£m so far2.65
attack 1.9clean sheet 0.3defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 2.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 39%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (39% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.42
Captain EV4.85
Top 15% of sims, average6.22
Projected pts/£m0.494
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.019
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.31
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.86
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank149 / 284
Season points (minutes)13 (439′)
Realized pts/£m2.65
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/265.json.