Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidLEE

Harry Wilson

MID · £6.2m · Gameweek 7
0.59xPts0.10pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
0110.60.60.60.6
GW3 0 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.6 projected · GW9 0.6 projected · GW10 0.6 projected
GW34678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank318thcaptain EV1.19owned1.4%season6 ptspts/£m so far0.97
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 73%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (73% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.59
Captain EV1.19
Top 15% of sims, average3.21
Projected pts/£m0.095
Expected bonus (per match)0.09
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.005
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.03
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.10
Price£6.2m
Ownership1.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank318 / 150
Season points (minutes)6 (164′)
Realized pts/£m0.97
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/260.json.