Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetFUL

Andersen

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.13xPts0.23pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1111.11.00.91.0
GW2 1 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.0 projected · GW9 0.9 projected · GW10 1.0 projected
GW23578910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank247thcaptain EV2.26owned0.2%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.60
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.3defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 63%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (63% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.13
Captain EV2.26
Top 15% of sims, average5.87
Projected pts/£m0.226
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.066
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.35
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.26
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank247 / 312
Season points (minutes)3 (190′)
Realized pts/£m0.60
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/253.json.