Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidMCI

Ndiaye

MID · £5.8m · Gameweek 7
3.40xPts0.59pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
1513.43.02.82.7
GW4 1 points played · GW5 5 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 3.4 projected · GW8 3.0 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank79thcaptain EV6.79owned5.7%season23 ptspts/£m so far3.97
attack 2.5clean sheet 0.3defence 0.2bonus 0.3= 3.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 23%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (23% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.40
Captain EV6.79
Top 15% of sims, average10.14
Projected pts/£m0.586
Expected bonus (per match)0.32
DefCon points (per match)0.20
P(DefCon threshold)0.099
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.35
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.83
Price£5.8m
Ownership5.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank79 / 68
Season points (minutes)23 (440′)
Realized pts/£m3.97
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/237.json.