Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetEVE

Keane

DEF · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
0.94xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
10.90.70.91.10.9
GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.9 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.9 projected · GW10 1.1 projected · GW11 0.9 projected
GW67891011
CHEARSNEWCOVBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank262ndcaptain EV1.88owned0.7%season1 pts
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 62%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (62% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.94
Captain EV1.88
Top 15% of sims, average4.74
Projected pts/£m0.196
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.047
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.23
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£4.8m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank262 / 216
Season points (minutes)1 (90′)
Realized pts/£m0.21
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/231.json.