Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetEVE

Tom King

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
0.13xPts0.03pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 0
0.10.10.10.10.1
GW7 0.1 projected · GW8 0.1 projected · GW9 0.1 projected · GW10 0.1 projected · GW11 0.1 projected
GW7891011
CHEARSNEWCOVBRE
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank480thcaptain EV0.27owned0.0%season0 pts
clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 96%ceiling 0
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (96% of simulations), ceiling 0 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.13
Captain EV0.27
Top 15% of sims, average0.89
Projected pts/£m0.029
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.05
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank480 / 655
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/228.json.