Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidCRY

Strand Larsen

FWD · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
2.57xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
8252.62.92.82.9
GW4 8 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 2.6 projected · GW8 2.9 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 2.9 projected
GW45678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank137thcaptain EV5.13owned0.7%season19 ptspts/£m so far3.17
attack 2.1bonus 0.5= 2.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 51%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (51% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.57
Captain EV5.13
Top 15% of sims, average8.95
Projected pts/£m0.428
Expected bonus (per match)0.47
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.77
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank137 / 217
Season points (minutes)19 (380′)
Realized pts/£m3.17
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/222.json.