Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetCRY

Wharton

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.05xPts0.56pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 6
2273.03.53.33.5
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 3.0 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.3 projected · GW10 3.5 projected
GW45678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank101stcaptain EV6.11owned0.7%season19 ptspts/£m so far3.52
attack 2.5clean sheet 0.1defence 0.2bonus 0.2= 3.0 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 52%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (52% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.05
Captain EV6.11
Top 15% of sims, average7.52
Projected pts/£m0.565
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.17
P(DefCon threshold)0.087
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.14
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank101 / 219
Season points (minutes)19 (526′)
Realized pts/£m3.52
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/210.json.