Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCRY

Mitchell

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.46xPts0.55pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
1742.53.33.13.4
GW4 1 points played · GW5 7 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 3.3 projected · GW9 3.1 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank145thcaptain EV4.92owned5.9%season28 ptspts/£m so far6.22
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.6defence 0.3bonus 0.2= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 33%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (33% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.46
Captain EV4.92
Top 15% of sims, average8.09
Projected pts/£m0.547
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.27
P(DefCon threshold)0.136
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.55
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.5m
Ownership5.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank145 / 65
Season points (minutes)28 (509′)
Realized pts/£m6.22
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/204.json.