Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCRY

Canvot

DEF · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
2.18xPts0.45pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1842.22.92.72.8
GW3 1 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 2.2 projected · GW8 2.9 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.8 projected
GW35678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank170thcaptain EV4.35owned0.2%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.92
attack 1.2clean sheet 0.5defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 2.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 26%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (26% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.18
Captain EV4.35
Top 15% of sims, average7.42
Projected pts/£m0.454
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.45
P(DefCon threshold)0.224
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.46
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.82
Price£4.8m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank170 / 322
Season points (minutes)14 (450′)
Realized pts/£m2.92
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/203.json.