Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNFO

Muñoz

DEF · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
2.10xPts0.39pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2212.13.02.72.5
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.1 projected · GW8 3.0 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.5 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank176thcaptain EV4.21owned5.2%season6 ptspts/£m so far1.11
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.5defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 30%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (30% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.10
Captain EV4.21
Top 15% of sims, average7.29
Projected pts/£m0.389
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.14
P(DefCon threshold)0.071
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.53
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.75
Price£5.4m
Ownership5.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank176 / 70
Season points (minutes)6 (347′)
Realized pts/£m1.11
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/201.json.