Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Simms

FWD · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
0.50xPts0.10pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
1160.50.60.60.6
GW3 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 0.5 projected · GW8 0.6 projected · GW9 0.6 projected · GW10 0.6 projected
GW35678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank325thcaptain EV1.00owned0.6%season10 ptspts/£m so far2.04
attack 0.3bonus 0.2= 0.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 73%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (73% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.50
Captain EV1.00
Top 15% of sims, average2.63
Projected pts/£m0.102
Expected bonus (per match)0.17
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.09
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank325 / 238
Season points (minutes)10 (116′)
Realized pts/£m2.04
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/195.json.