Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Thomas-Asante

FWD · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.72xPts0.34pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
1451.71.91.91.9
GW4 1 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 1.9 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.9 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank205thcaptain EV3.44owned0.9%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.80
attack 1.4defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 37%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (37% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.72
Captain EV3.44
Top 15% of sims, average6.15
Projected pts/£m0.344
Expected bonus (per match)0.29
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.032
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.58
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank205 / 194
Season points (minutes)14 (317′)
Realized pts/£m2.80
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/194.json.