Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Grimes

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
2.34xPts0.48pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 4
2322.32.62.62.6
GW4 2 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.3 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.6 projected · GW10 2.6 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank158thcaptain EV4.68owned0.1%season13 ptspts/£m so far2.65
attack 2.0clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.3 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 60%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (60% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.34
Captain EV4.68
Top 15% of sims, average5.52
Projected pts/£m0.478
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.055
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.12
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank158 / 420
Season points (minutes)13 (525′)
Realized pts/£m2.65
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/184.json.