Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Jay Dasilva

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
1.98xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
01552.02.93.12.9
GW4 0 points played · GW5 15 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 2.9 projected · GW9 3.1 projected · GW10 2.9 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank185thcaptain EV3.96owned1.0%season25 ptspts/£m so far6.25
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.5defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 35%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (35% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.98
Captain EV3.96
Top 15% of sims, average7.04
Projected pts/£m0.495
Expected bonus (per match)0.08
DefCon points (per match)0.07
P(DefCon threshold)0.035
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.47
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.0m
Ownership1.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank185 / 178
Season points (minutes)25 (534′)
Realized pts/£m6.25
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/176.json.