Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

van Ewijk

DEF · £3.9m · Gameweek 7
1.70xPts0.44pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
3061.72.32.42.3
GW3 3 points played · GW4 0 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 2.3 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.3 projected
GW34678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank208thcaptain EV3.40owned7.4%season12 ptspts/£m so far3.08
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.4defence 0.3bonus 0.1= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 33%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (33% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.70
Captain EV3.40
Top 15% of sims, average6.09
Projected pts/£m0.436
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.35
P(DefCon threshold)0.173
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.37
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.77
Price£3.9m
Ownership7.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank208 / 49
Season points (minutes)12 (450′)
Realized pts/£m3.08
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/175.json.