Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetMUN

Andrey Santos

MID · £4.7m · Gameweek 7
0.47xPts0.10pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
2110.50.50.50.5
GW1 2 points played · GW2 1 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW7 0.5 projected · GW8 0.5 projected · GW9 0.5 projected · GW10 0.5 projected
GW12378910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank327thcaptain EV0.94owned0.5%season4 ptspts/£m so far0.85
attack 0.3clean sheet 0.0defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 75%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (75% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.47
Captain EV0.94
Top 15% of sims, average2.50
Projected pts/£m0.100
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.025
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.09
Price£4.7m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank327 / 242
Season points (minutes)4 (82′)
Realized pts/£m0.85
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/162.json.