Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidARS

Madueke

MID · £6.2m · Gameweek 7
1.15xPts0.18pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1121.11.21.11.2
GW1 1 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.2 projected
GW13678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank246thcaptain EV2.30owned0.2%season4 ptspts/£m so far0.65
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 59%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (59% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.15
Captain EV2.30
Top 15% of sims, average5.21
Projected pts/£m0.185
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.010
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.12
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£6.2m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank246 / 348
Season points (minutes)4 (113′)
Realized pts/£m0.65
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/16.json.