Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · PremiumCHE

Cole Palmer

MID · £9.7m · Gameweek 7
5.84xPts0.60pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 13
5285.85.85.85.6
GW4 5 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 8 points played · GW7 5.8 projected · GW8 5.8 projected · GW9 5.8 projected · GW10 5.6 projected
GW45678910
EVETOTMUNSUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank7thcaptain EV11.68owned25.3%season36 ptspts/£m so far3.71
attack 4.5clean sheet 0.3defence 0.1bonus 1.0= 5.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 28%ceiling 13
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (28% of simulations), ceiling 13 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we own him, in our XI
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.84
Captain EV11.68
Top 15% of sims, average14.82
Projected pts/£m0.602
Expected bonus (per match)0.97
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.032
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.29
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£9.7m
Ownership25.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank7 / 12
Season points (minutes)36 (529′)
Realized pts/£m3.71
Model tierS · Premium
Our positionwe own him, in our XI

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Cole Palmer. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the XI of our squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/154.json.