Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidARS

Ødegaard

MID · £6.8m · Gameweek 7
4.25xPts0.62pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 10
3214.24.53.94.2
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 4.2 projected · GW8 4.5 projected · GW9 3.9 projected · GW10 4.2 projected
GW45678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank33rdcaptain EV8.49owned19.7%season30 ptspts/£m so far4.41
attack 3.3clean sheet 0.4defence 0.0bonus 0.5= 4.2 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 30%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (30% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.25
Captain EV8.49
Top 15% of sims, average11.02
Projected pts/£m0.625
Expected bonus (per match)0.48
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.018
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.44
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£6.8m
Ownership19.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank33 / 18
Season points (minutes)30 (466′)
Realized pts/£m4.41
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/15.json.