Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCHE

Reece James

DEF · £5.3m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.30. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

1.08xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
1111.11.11.11.1
GW2 1 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.1 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.1 projected
GW23478910
EVETOTMUNSUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank252ndcaptain EV2.16owned5.1%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.57
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.3defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 65%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (65% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.08
Captain EV2.16
Top 15% of sims, average5.69
Projected pts/£m0.204
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.018
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.30
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.30
Price£5.3m
Ownership5.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank252 / 73
Season points (minutes)3 (292′)
Realized pts/£m0.57
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/142.json.