Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidARS

Rice

MID · £7.3m · Gameweek 7
3.87xPts0.53pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 8
6173.94.03.63.8
GW4 6 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 3.9 projected · GW8 4.0 projected · GW9 3.6 projected · GW10 3.8 projected
GW45678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank43rdcaptain EV7.73owned10.8%season27 ptspts/£m so far3.70
attack 2.9clean sheet 0.4defence 0.3bonus 0.2= 3.9 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 32%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (32% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.87
Captain EV7.73
Top 15% of sims, average9.22
Projected pts/£m0.530
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.28
P(DefCon threshold)0.139
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.44
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£7.3m
Ownership10.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank43 / 34
Season points (minutes)27 (501′)
Realized pts/£m3.70
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/13.json.