Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBHA

Ayari

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.11xPts0.58pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
8333.12.72.52.7
GW4 8 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 3.1 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 2.5 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank96thcaptain EV6.21owned0.4%season18 ptspts/£m so far3.33
attack 2.5clean sheet 0.3defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 3.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 38%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (38% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.11
Captain EV6.21
Top 15% of sims, average9.19
Projected pts/£m0.576
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.016
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.32
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.88
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank96 / 259
Season points (minutes)18 (420′)
Realized pts/£m3.33
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/129.json.