Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · MidBHA

Hinshelwood

MID · £5.9m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Ankle injury - 50% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.05. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

0.36xPts0.06pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
160.40.30.30.30.3
GW1 16 points played · GW7 0.4 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.3 projected · GW11 0.3 projected
GW17891011
CRYLIVMCIBREHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank339thcaptain EV0.72owned0.5%season16 pts
attack 0.2clean sheet 0.0bonus 0.2= 0.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 87%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (87% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.36
Captain EV0.72
Top 15% of sims, average2.42
Projected pts/£m0.061
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.05
Price£5.9m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank339 / 249
Season points (minutes)16 (63′)
Realized pts/£m2.71
Model tierC · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/123.json.