Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · PremiumARS
Saka
7.02xPts0.73pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 15
8227.07.66.57.0
GW45678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank2ndcaptain EV14.04owned16.7%season34 ptspts/£m so far3.54
attack 5.4clean sheet 0.4defence 0.1bonus 1.1= 7.0 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 21%ceiling 15
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 7.02 |
| Captain EV | 14.04 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 16.71 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.731 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 1.05 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.10 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.051 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.44 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.99 |
| Price | £9.6m |
| Ownership | 16.7% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 2 / 24 |
| Season points (minutes) | 34 (506′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 3.54 |
| Model tier | S · Premium |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/12.json.