Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBHA

Dunk

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.02xPts0.45pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
51212.01.61.41.7
GW3 5 points played · GW4 12 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 1.6 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.7 projected
GW34678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank181stcaptain EV4.03owned1.5%season23 ptspts/£m so far5.11
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.7defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 44%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (44% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.02
Captain EV4.03
Top 15% of sims, average7.72
Projected pts/£m0.449
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.063
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.72
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.51
Price£4.5m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank181 / 141
Season points (minutes)23 (390′)
Realized pts/£m5.11
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/116.json.