Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBHA

Boscagli

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
3.75xPts0.83pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
6653.83.02.53.2
GW4 6 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 3.8 projected · GW8 3.0 projected · GW9 2.5 projected · GW10 3.2 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank53rdcaptain EV7.51owned0.3%season24 ptspts/£m so far5.33
attack 1.9clean sheet 1.4defence 0.2bonus 0.3= 3.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 24%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (24% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.75
Captain EV7.51
Top 15% of sims, average8.95
Projected pts/£m0.833
Expected bonus (per match)0.26
DefCon points (per match)0.17
P(DefCon threshold)0.084
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.45
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank53 / 286
Season points (minutes)24 (504′)
Realized pts/£m5.33
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/114.json.