Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBHA
F.Kadıoğlu
3.52xPts0.80pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
6593.52.82.43.0
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank67thcaptain EV7.04owned1.6%season22 ptspts/£m so far5.00
attack 2.0clean sheet 1.3defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 3.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 6 23%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.52 |
| Captain EV | 7.04 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 8.81 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.800 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.12 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.10 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.050 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.30 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.91 |
| Price | £4.4m |
| Ownership | 1.6% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 67 / 134 |
| Season points (minutes) | 22 (422′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 5.00 |
| Model tier | A · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/113.json.