Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetTOT

Van Hecke

DEF · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
5.10xPts1.04pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 10
8635.13.64.24.0
GW4 8 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 5.1 projected · GW8 3.6 projected · GW9 4.2 projected · GW10 4.0 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank14thcaptain EV10.19owned6.3%season27 ptspts/£m so far5.51
attack 2.6clean sheet 1.5defence 0.6bonus 0.4= 5.1 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 18%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (18% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.10
Captain EV10.19
Top 15% of sims, average12.23
Projected pts/£m1.041
Expected bonus (per match)0.43
DefCon points (per match)0.60
P(DefCon threshold)0.299
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.51
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.9m
Ownership6.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank14 / 62
Season points (minutes)27 (540′)
Realized pts/£m5.51
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/112.json.