Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Rushworth

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
1.87xPts0.42pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
01131.92.72.82.7
GW4 0 points played · GW5 11 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank192ndcaptain EV3.74owned0.8%season19 ptspts/£m so far4.22
attack 1.2clean sheet 0.5bonus 0.2= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 30%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (30% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.87
Captain EV3.74
Top 15% of sims, average6.57
Projected pts/£m0.416
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.45
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank192 / 208
Season points (minutes)19 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.22
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/110.json.