Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBRE

Yarmoliuk

MID · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
1.87xPts0.39pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
4381.91.91.91.8
GW4 4 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 8 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 1.9 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank193rdcaptain EV3.73owned0.7%season17 ptspts/£m so far3.54
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.1defence 0.2bonus 0.1= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 33%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (33% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.87
Captain EV3.73
Top 15% of sims, average5.26
Projected pts/£m0.390
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.18
P(DefCon threshold)0.088
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.67
Price£4.8m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank193 / 220
Season points (minutes)17 (282′)
Realized pts/£m3.54
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/102.json.