# Gameweek 7 fixture ticker: MCI lead the clean sheets

> MCI project 0.44 expected clean sheets against IPS (H).

By the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw7/ticker/

MCI top the ticker at 0.44 expected clean sheets (IPS (H)), conceding an expected 0.8. These numbers are market-derived.

**Bottom line:** Target MCI defenders — 0.44 expected clean sheets is the best on the board.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | Clean sheets | xGF | xGA | Fixtures | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI | IPS (H) | 0.44 | 2.78 | 0.82 | 1 | market |
| 2 | ARS | NFO (A) | 0.43 | 1.84 | 0.85 | 1 | market |
| 3 | TOT | COV (H) | 0.37 | 2.20 | 0.98 | 1 | market |
| 4 | FUL | HUL (H) | 0.36 | 1.80 | 1.01 | 1 | market |
| 5 | BHA | CRY (H) | 0.35 | 2.07 | 1.04 | 1 | market |
| 6 | BOU | SUN (H) | 0.32 | 1.60 | 1.16 | 1 | market |
| 7 | CHE | EVE (A) | 0.28 | 1.61 | 1.30 | 1 | market |
| 8 | NEW | AVL (H) | 0.25 | 1.61 | 1.42 | 1 | market |
| 9 | LEE | MUN (H) | 0.24 | 1.57 | 1.42 | 1 | market |
| 10 | BRE | LIV (H) | 0.22 | 1.62 | 1.49 | 1 | market |
| 11 | MUN | LEE (A) | 0.20 | 1.42 | 1.57 | 1 | market |
| 12 | AVL | NEW (A) | 0.20 | 1.42 | 1.61 | 1 | market |
| 13 | EVE | CHE (H) | 0.20 | 1.30 | 1.61 | 1 | market |
| 14 | LIV | BRE (A) | 0.20 | 1.49 | 1.62 | 1 | market |
| 15 | SUN | BOU (A) | 0.20 | 1.16 | 1.60 | 1 | market |
| 16 | HUL | FUL (A) | 0.17 | 1.01 | 1.80 | 1 | market |
| 17 | NFO | ARS (H) | 0.15 | 0.85 | 1.84 | 1 | market |
| 18 | CRY | BHA (A) | 0.12 | 1.04 | 2.07 | 1 | market |
| 19 | COV | TOT (A) | 0.11 | 0.98 | 2.20 | 1 | market |
| 20 | IPS | MCI (A) | 0.07 | 0.82 | 2.78 | 1 | market |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw7/ticker.json