# The Consensus XI: gameweek 2 comparator

> The recorded comparator squad — Haaland captains, João Pedro is vice.

By the evmax model · 28 August 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw2/consensus-squad/

Rebuilt for gameweek 2 as the most-owned legal template from official ownership, greedily legalised under budget, position quotas and club cap; captain was the highest-owned premium. The GW1 expert mention-tally method was retired. Later weeks carry the held roster.This is the held comparator roster, not a fresh poll of expert teams. Both squads use the same forecast model for expected points and minutes. Their realized score gap combines player selection, captaincy, chips and football variance; it does not isolate information quality.The 3-4-3 XI projects 46.39 points, 52.97 with the captain doubled.

Method description corrected 2026-10-13. Original forecast numbers, squad and archived prose remain unchanged.

**Bottom line:** Comparator: 3-4-3, Haaland (c) — 52.97 projected on our model's numbers.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | xPts | Ceiling | Captain EV | Pts/m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raya | ARS | 3.68 | 7.29 | 7.35 | 0.61 |
| 2 | Calafiori | ARS | 4.36 | 11.39 | 8.73 | 0.78 |
| 3 | O'Reilly | MCI | 3.36 | 9.91 | 6.72 | 0.52 |
| 4 | Shaw | MUN | 3.50 | 7.46 | 7.00 | 0.78 |
| 5 | Szoboszlai | LIV | 5.70 | 14.87 | 11.41 | 0.81 |
| 6 | Mbeumo | MUN | 4.84 | 14.10 | 9.69 | 0.60 |
| 7 | Tzolis | ARS | 3.07 | 9.59 | 6.14 | 0.47 |
| 8 | Rogers | CHE | 3.27 | 9.14 | 6.54 | 0.44 |
| 9 | Haaland | MCI | 6.58 | 16.58 | 13.16 | 0.42 |
| 10 | João Pedro | CHE | 4.14 | 11.00 | 8.28 | 0.54 |
| 11 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | 3.89 | 11.57 | 7.78 | 0.65 |
| 12 | Kinsky | TOT | 3.10 | 7.65 | 6.21 | 0.69 |
| 13 | Guéhi | MCI | 4.40 | 11.01 | 8.80 | 0.73 |
| 14 | Diop | IPS | 1.55 | 6.16 | 3.10 | 0.39 |
| 15 | Slater | HUL | 3.03 | 9.55 | 6.05 | 0.67 |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw2/consensus-squad.json