{ "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy", "round": 5, "article": "efficiency", "title": "Best value — points per million — Round 5", "generated_at": "2026-07-03T13:38:41.827646+00:00", "sims": 50000, "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.", "entries": [ { "name": "Mike Maignan", "team": "France", "position": "GK", "x_points": 5.16, "captain_ev": 10.32, "ceiling": 5.16, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.9, "value": 1.032, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 1 }, { "name": "Chadi Riad", "team": "Morocco", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 4.0, "captain_ev": 8.0, "ceiling": 3.84, "ceiling_ratio": 0.959, "price": 3.9, "ownership_pct": 1.4, "value": 1.026, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 2 }, { "name": "Dayot Upamecano", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 5.16, "captain_ev": 10.31, "ceiling": 4.74, "ceiling_ratio": 0.919, "price": 5.3, "ownership_pct": 4.9, "value": 0.973, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 3 }, { "name": "Yassine 'Bono' Bounou", "team": "Morocco", "position": "GK", "x_points": 4.29, "captain_ev": 8.58, "ceiling": 4.29, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.7, "ownership_pct": 5.7, "value": 0.913, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 4 }, { "name": "Jules Kounde", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 4.83, "captain_ev": 9.66, "ceiling": 4.7, "ceiling_ratio": 0.973, "price": 5.4, "ownership_pct": 6.3, "value": 0.894, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 5 }, { "name": "William Saliba", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 4.61, "captain_ev": 9.21, "ceiling": 4.31, "ceiling_ratio": 0.936, "price": 5.3, "ownership_pct": 13, "value": 0.869, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 6 }, { "name": "Achraf Hakimi", "team": "Morocco", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 4.93, "captain_ev": 9.86, "ceiling": 4.04, "ceiling_ratio": 0.821, "price": 6, "ownership_pct": 28, "value": 0.821, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 7 }, { "name": "Ismael Saibari", "team": "Morocco", "position": "MID", "x_points": 5.54, "captain_ev": 11.08, "ceiling": 9.06, "ceiling_ratio": 1.635, "price": 6.8, "ownership_pct": 14.9, "value": 0.815, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 8 }, { "name": "Noussair Mazraoui", "team": "Morocco", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.56, "captain_ev": 7.11, "ceiling": 3.3, "ceiling_ratio": 0.928, "price": 4.4, "ownership_pct": 3.6, "value": 0.808, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 9 }, { "name": "Jordan Pickford", "team": "England", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.86, "captain_ev": 7.71, "ceiling": 3.86, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 15.9, "value": 0.804, "kickoff": "2026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 10 }, { "name": "Folarin Balogun", "team": "United States", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.69, "captain_ev": 9.38, "ceiling": 8.22, "ceiling_ratio": 1.754, "price": 6, "ownership_pct": 3.9, "value": 0.781, "kickoff": "2026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 11 }, { "name": "Rangel", "team": "Mexico", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.04, "captain_ev": 6.08, "ceiling": 3.04, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 3.9, "ownership_pct": 6.7, "value": 0.78, "kickoff": "2026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 12 }, { "name": "Unai Simon", "team": "Spain", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.79, "captain_ev": 7.58, "ceiling": 3.79, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.5, "value": 0.758, "kickoff": "2026-07-06T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 13 }, { "name": "Maxime Crepeau", "team": "Canada", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.02, "captain_ev": 6.03, "ceiling": 3.02, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4, "ownership_pct": 3.7, "value": 0.754, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 14 }, { "name": "Alisson Becker", "team": "Brazil", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.69, "captain_ev": 7.38, "ceiling": 3.69, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 7.4, "value": 0.738, "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 15 }, { "name": "Douglas Santos", "team": "Brazil", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.17, "captain_ev": 6.35, "ceiling": 2.94, "ceiling_ratio": 0.927, "price": 4.3, "ownership_pct": 2.4, "value": 0.738, "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 16 }, { "name": "Giovanni Reyna", "team": "United States", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.92, "captain_ev": 7.85, "ceiling": 8.91, "ceiling_ratio": 2.271, "price": 5.5, "ownership_pct": 0.4, "value": 0.713, "kickoff": "2026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 17 }, { "name": "Matt Freese", "team": "United States", "position": "GK", "x_points": 2.92, "captain_ev": 5.84, "ceiling": 2.92, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.2, "ownership_pct": 2, "value": 0.696, "kickoff": "2026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 18 }, { "name": "Neil El Aynaoui", "team": "Morocco", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.85, "captain_ev": 7.7, "ceiling": 3.16, "ceiling_ratio": 0.821, "price": 5.6, "ownership_pct": 0.1, "value": 0.688, "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00", "rank": 19 }, { "name": "Ezri Konsa", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.25, "captain_ev": 6.5, "ceiling": 3.16, "ceiling_ratio": 0.973, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 3, "value": 0.677, "kickoff": "2026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00", "rank": 20 } ], "source": "https://evmax.ai", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)" }