{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 3,
  "article": "risky",
  "title": "Risky chances — highest ceilings — Round 3",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T13:03:53.613308+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Ismael Saibari",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 7.02,
      "captain_ev": 14.04,
      "ceiling": 15.47,
      "price": 6.8,
      "ownership_pct": 9.4,
      "value": 1.033,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-24T22:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Amad Diallo",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 8.6,
      "captain_ev": 17.19,
      "ceiling": 14.15,
      "price": 5.9,
      "ownership_pct": 1.3,
      "value": 1.457,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Nicolas Jackson",
      "team": "Senegal",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 8.15,
      "captain_ev": 16.31,
      "ceiling": 14.05,
      "price": 6.7,
      "ownership_pct": 0.5,
      "value": 1.217,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-26T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Edin Dzeko",
      "team": "Bosnia-Herzegovina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 7.52,
      "captain_ev": 15.03,
      "ceiling": 13.88,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.7,
      "value": 1.232,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-24T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Yan Diomande",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 6.62,
      "captain_ev": 13.24,
      "ceiling": 13.58,
      "price": 5.9,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 1.122,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Donyell Malen",
      "team": "Netherlands",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.91,
      "captain_ev": 7.82,
      "ceiling": 11.96,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 1,
      "value": 0.641,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Kai Havertz",
      "team": "Germany",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.41,
      "captain_ev": 6.82,
      "ceiling": 11.61,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 13.4,
      "value": 0.437,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Memphis Depay",
      "team": "Netherlands",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 2.96,
      "captain_ev": 5.92,
      "ceiling": 11.51,
      "price": 7.4,
      "ownership_pct": 0.8,
      "value": 0.4,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil van Dijk",
      "team": "Netherlands",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 6.05,
      "captain_ev": 12.09,
      "ceiling": 11.48,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 22.2,
      "value": 1.099,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Denzel Dumfries",
      "team": "Netherlands",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 6.08,
      "captain_ev": 12.17,
      "ceiling": 11.47,
      "price": 5.7,
      "ownership_pct": 16.8,
      "value": 1.067,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Evann Guessand",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 2.78,
      "captain_ev": 5.56,
      "ceiling": 11.43,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 0,
      "value": 0.524,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Maxim De Cuyper",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.39,
      "captain_ev": 10.78,
      "ceiling": 11.07,
      "price": 4.7,
      "ownership_pct": 2.7,
      "value": 1.147,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Thomas Meunier",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.13,
      "captain_ev": 10.26,
      "ceiling": 11.02,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 1.069,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Ange-Yoan Bonny",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.72,
      "captain_ev": 1.44,
      "ceiling": 10.36,
      "price": 4.9,
      "ownership_pct": 0.1,
      "value": 0.147,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Kevin De Bruyne",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 6.65,
      "captain_ev": 13.3,
      "ceiling": 10.06,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 5.6,
      "value": 0.887,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Leandro Trossard",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 6.21,
      "captain_ev": 12.42,
      "ceiling": 9.87,
      "price": 6.6,
      "ownership_pct": 2.2,
      "value": 0.941,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Ritsu Doan",
      "team": "Japan",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.83,
      "captain_ev": 7.65,
      "ceiling": 9.85,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 1,
      "value": 0.75,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Brahim Diaz",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.63,
      "captain_ev": 9.26,
      "ceiling": 9.75,
      "price": 6.4,
      "ownership_pct": 5.3,
      "value": 0.724,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-24T22:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Ibrahim Sangare",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.67,
      "captain_ev": 9.35,
      "ceiling": 9.75,
      "price": 5.8,
      "ownership_pct": 0.1,
      "value": 0.806,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Franck Kessie",
      "team": "Ivory Coast",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.64,
      "captain_ev": 9.29,
      "ceiling": 9.73,
      "price": 5.9,
      "ownership_pct": 0.7,
      "value": 0.787,
      "kickoff": "2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.pages.dev",
  "license": "Attribution requested: evmax"
}